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Saturday, February 11, 2006

Israel:Iran nukes by 2010

Posted by Picasa United States,European and Israeli intelligence chiefs agree that Iran is likely to have a nuclear bomb by 2010 or 2011unless the world disrupts its efforts,the recently retired Director of Military Intelligence,Maj.Gen Aharon Ze`evi Farkash, said this week.
Farkash headed the Military Intelligence in the last four years.It`s Israel`s biggest intelligence branch and until early January he was responsible for presenting the Cabinet with the national assessment.
Thursday he appeared before foreign diplomats and correspondents in a briefing organized by the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs.Iran should be stopped now,before it develops the capability to produce the bomb,he stressed.In discussions "With friends in Europe and in the States ...all of us....have reached "basic understandings "about the Iranian nuclear threat,Farkash noted.
They all agree Iran needs six months to a year to complete it`s research and development in order to enrich uranium.It has already decided to run a cascade with 164 centrifuges and learn the lessons from this process.Thus,from the beginning of 2007,it would be able to enrich uranium to build the bomb,he said.
Then,if uninterrupted ,it would need about a year to build a site wih 2,000 to 4,000 centrifuges in order to produce sufficient fissile material to build the first bomb "approximately" in 2010 or 2011" he added.
The arguments among the intelligence organizations were over the other possibility if sanctions and other disruptive measures are imposed,when might Iran have the opportunity,the capability,to build the first bomb?
"There are various dates 2010,2011,2015 etc," he said.
"In my point of view the most important step is now,achieving independent nuclear military capability to develop a nuclear bomb,"he stressed.
The most immediate threat would be directed at Israel.Iran has said openly it would like to wipe Israel off the face of earth.But not only Israel is in danger.Iran`s surface to surafce Shihab 3 miswiles with a range of 1,300 to 1,400 kilometres,are designed to threaten Saudi Arabia too.
"We have had hard evidence about maneuvres in the brigades that deal with the surface to surafxce missiles that part of them are against Saudi Arabia," Farkash reported.
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